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System Dynamics Pitfalls and Pointers

Correlation and Casuality

Development of theories about what causes problems we face commences with observation of the world around us. Our first notions evolve from seeing evidence that we then link to certain other factors. Hypotheses about what might cause the problems, by producing various effects, are developed progressively. But, correlation, that there is a link, and causality, that causes produce effects, are very different. We should be careful not to confuse the two. The following explanation is designed to eliminate confusion .


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