System Dynamics Pitfalls and Pointers
Correlation and Casuality
Development of theories about what causes problems we face commences
with observation of the world around us. Our first notions
evolve from seeing evidence that we then link to certain
other factors. Hypotheses about what might cause the problems, by
producing various effects, are developed progressively. But, correlation, that there
is a link, and causality, that causes produce effects, are
very different. We should be careful not to confuse the
two. The following explanation is designed to eliminate confusion .
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